What changes Kazakhstan automobile market will face in 2017
According to analysts a rise of the prices in 2017 in the automobile market of Kazakhstan not to be expected, but cars will not become cheaper too. On preliminary results, 2016 will be complete with sales of 43-45,000 new cars. Almaty will be the leader of sales of new machines and the greatest number of transactions following the results of a year will be registered in Almaty region.
On preliminary results, 2016 will be complete with sales of 43-45,000 new cars. Almaty will be the leader of sales of new machines and the greatest number of transactions following the results of a year will be registered in Almaty region.
In the long term, three years growth of sales of new cars is expected
*in condition of growth of an oil price according to forecasts of the international organizations, lack of considerable changes in the exchange rate of currencies, devaluation, a value addition from brand holders and other considerable factors.
Positive factors for the market:
Step-by-step reduction of import duties within the approved rates. Depreciation of import origin cars.
Issue of certificates of the expenses on purchase of the new car refunding a part in case of delivery an old car for utilization stimulates sales of cars of the Kazakhstan production.
2. Basic trends of 2017:
Further growth of the Kazakhstan machines in sales pattern
The prices will remain at the level of 2016
Growth of popularity of off-road vehicles as segment will be continued.
The prices of import cars will depend on tenge rate more than domestic cars.
Objectively average price for import in 2016 grew from 4 million to 7.2 million tenge and on local from 4.3 million to 5.3 million tenge.
As the rate was stabilized and considerable fluctuations in the market are not expected, then this year prices of cars will hold in 2017.
The market of new and used cars will keep the current indicators as there are no prospects on reduction in cost yet. For reduction in cost of the new cars made in Kazakhstan it is necessary to increase localization level, besides, the considerable market share is constituted by import.
Increase in a segment of off-road vehicles is observed - the trend will remain in 2017. Increase of a share in structure of official sales is connected with considerable sales of cars of Toyota LC Prado, Toyota LC200, Toyota RAV4, KIA Sportage, Nissan Qashqai, Hyundai Santa Fe, JAC S3 and others. Sales of Toyota cars stimulated by the program of facilitated crediting from 4%.
3. Sales according to the program of preferential crediting:
In total the sold cars for the period May, 2015 – November, 2016
The sold cars of a local production for the same period
Share of preferential crediting in sales of cars of the Kazakhstan production - 39.6%.
Trends of 2017: the program of preferential crediting will be popular in 2017. Growth of popularity will be influenced by the beginning of the program of certification of the utilized cars and increase in a limit to 15 million tenge.
4. Influence of requirements for system of monitoring "ERA-GLONASS" and EVAK on the Kazakhstan automobile market.
The technical regulations of the CU 018/2011 which came into force in January, 2015 require installation of satellite navigation system since 2017 for all cars without exception.
Producers will be engaged in installation of satellite monitoring systems on new cars. Considerable influence on the cost of cars is not expected – rise in price will constitute about 100,000 tenge.
President of Association of the Kazakhstan car business Andrey Lavrentyev in this occasion told the following:
"The single system of quick response is unambiguously necessary as there is nothing more valuable than human lives. At such moments when every minute on the account, I do not think that someone will be concerned by installation cost. But in future the statistics on road accident will change to the best. Everybody are interested in preserving life of drivers on roads".